Tuesday, August 5, 2008

UFC 87: Seek and Destroy Betting Odds and Pick






This Saturday, August 9th at Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota UFC 87 will be bring you the fight card of the summer!

Orginally, Heavyweights Brock Lesnar ( 1-1) and Heath Herring (29-13-1) were headlining the card, but at the last minute a Welterweight Title fight stole the show. Georges St. Pierre (16-2) will be defending his newly found title against the #1 contender Jon Fitch (21-2). It is a real shame because I think Heath Herring really needed to headline for his confidense, he hasn't been abel to put together a good win streak since 2004 and ever since then its been win/loss win/loss ect. and his last fight was a win over an overrated Cheick Congo so if history holds true the odds should be against him. Heres the fight card with odds and my picks:



Welterweight Title Fight:
Georges "Rush" St. Pierre (16-2) -360 (risk $360 to win $100)
Jon Fitch (21-2) +280 (risk $100 to win $280)
*Frankie "Knuckles" Bloise's Pick: UPSET OF THE NIGHT!!! Frankie says; "Jon Fitch is too strong for the French Canadian who most recently has been fighting smaller opponents, Fitch has a full arsenal of weapons and is a very well rounded fighter who doesn't mind a brawl on his feet, but is completely comfortable on the ground as well. His sheer toughness will beat St. Pierre, the only chance the defending champ has is to take it to the ground and do everything possible to stay on top." This is definantly a great opportunity to profit from the dog as the favorites have been covering too often lately. Take Fitch and then buy a round at the bar with the winnings.


Heavyweights:
Brock Lesnar (1-1) -270 (risk $270 to win $100)
Heath "The Texas Crazy Horse" (29-13-1) +210 (risk $100 to win $210)
*Frankie "Knuckles" Bloise Pick: Frankie is betting with the bookies on this one, "Lesnar is waay too strong and his wrestling is world class. Herring won't be able to handle it! Granted, Herring does alot of experience, but his only chance is to catch Lesnar in a submission similiar to what happened against Frank Mir where Lesner got caught in a knee/ankle bar and had to tap. Seeing as Herrings Jui Jistsu skills are not half that of Frank Mir's I don't see how its possible to pull that off." You should lay off this fight, the numbers are too high, I thought that Herring's experience would balance out the size of Lesnar, but its not worth it. I would put $10 fun bucks down on it with the return of at least 2 more rounds at the bar, but I wouldn't hold my breath.

Lightweights
Kenny "KenFlo" Florian (9-3) -155 (risk $155 to win $100)
Roger "El Matador" Huerta (22-1-1) +125 (risk $100 to win $125)
My Pick: Huerta is gonna hurt this guy!!! Kenny Florian may have made a name for himself via the Ultimate Fighter competition, but he is waaay over hyped, yeah he has 4 wins in a row, 3 of which were by submission, but his past opponents were all 2nd or 3rd tier fighters not mention the guy is 32 now and is fighting under his normal weight class, normally this guy would walk around at 170 so he's unbalanced, he couldn't cut it in the Welterweight division so he had to drop weight which means he's not comfortable or at optimal ability to use his natural body frame. Huerta on the other hand is young dumb and full of cum, BUT!!! he is on a 13 fight win streak and is more effective with his striking than KenFlo and at his normal weight is more agile on the ground. I really don't understand the thinking on the part of the bookmakers with these odds but thats all the more opportunity for the bettors to have a nice come up. Huerta is the young stud, he has more experice than Florian and whether it goes to the ground or on their feet Huerta is the better fighter. Out of all the fights on the card this is the one you want to put big money on. TAKE HUERTA!!! Its the closest thing to a sure bet that you can hope for in UFC.

Lightweights
Manny "The Anvil" Gamburyean (9-3) -340 (risk $340 to win $100)
Rob "The Saint" Emerson (9-6-1) +260 (risk $100 to win $260)
My Pick: Unfortunately this is one of those fights where the odds makers are right on, I saw the fight where Manny broke his fore arm because he didn't tap out. This guy is as tough as nails and nobody the likes of Rob Emerson is going to push him around. This guy Emerson has never fought anyone that you would have heard of and basically this fight was scheduled so that Manny could make his comeback after that seveer injury. It's not worth betting on, but at least after reading this you can make bets with your friends that don't know about the line and hopefully make a few fun bucks. This is the lock of the night! Manny Gamburyean will end this fool in the first round, I know hes hungry.

Middleweights
Jason "The Athlete" McDonald (21-9) +205 (risk $100 to win $205)
Demian Maia (8-0) -265 (risk $265 to win $100)

Welterweights
Luke "The Silent Assasin" Cummo (9-6) -150 (risk $150 to win $100)
Tamdon "The Barn Cat" McCrory (10-1) +120 (risk $100 to win $120)

Heavyweights
Cheick Kongo (21-5-1) -575 (risk $575 to win $100)
Dan Evenson (10-2) +400 (risk $100 to win $400)
My Pick: Whenever you can get more that 3 to 1 on a UFC bet you have to take it. Cheick Kongo will probably win but that $10 to win $40 is just toooooooooo sweet to pass up, you have to lay down some fun money here, the return is just too sweet.

Welterweights
Chris "The Professor" Wilson (12-5-1) -335 (risk $335 to win $100)
Steve "Hollywood" Bruno (12-3) +235 (risk $100 to win $235)

Hey if you guys like this blog let me know and I will start writing on it again, but most of my postings are at http://blog.gamblerspalace.com/gp/wordpress/ and http://www.chipleaderblog.com/ if you are interested. Cheers...



Click here for Live UFC 87 Betting Lines


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***Frankie Bloise is an up and coming MMA fighter out of the Gracie Barra Panama Jiu Jitsu school in Panama City, Panama

Posted by JR Valdez at 8:37 AM 1 comments

Wednesday, August 8, 2007

UFC 74: Respect Fight Card

UFC 74 takes place Saturday, August 25th at 10:00pm est at the Mandalay Bay Events Center in Las Vegas, NV. Heres the complete fight card and the available odds at this time.






Main event:
UFC Heavyweight Championship title bout
*current champ

*Randy "The Natural" Couture(15-8-0) vs Gabriel "Napao" Gonzaga(8-1-0)
*No doubt Couture would have much rather fought Cro Cop, at least with him you know where he wants to fight you at which is on his feet. With Gonzaga its a crap shoot, he has proven to be both an accomplished wrestler who is comfortable on the ground and a devastating striker on his feet, as Mirko Cro Cop found out the hard way at UFC 70. Couture is old, but experienced and I think he will have all he can handle with Gonzaga. Couture is the fan favorite and I would expect the line to move towards a more even keel, so if you like Couture take him now, but if you like Gonzaga then wait until we get closer to the fight and the true line will come out making it less expensive. I gotta say that Gonzaga while less experienced looks to be more hungry and with the lack of respect he has been shown lately it is safe to say that he is like a wounded animal, unpredictable and wild. In my opinon, Couture should be worried.
Undercard Events:
Lightweights
Roger "El Matador" Huerta(20-1-1) vs Alberto Crane(8-0-0)
*Huerta is a wrestler by trade but, he seems more comfortable on his feet as more than half of his 20 wins have come by way of KO/TKO from strikes. His considerable experience over Crane justifies the lop sided line and he should win handily. However, Crane is on an 8 fight win streak with all but 1 win coming by submission. Crane will definantly try to take it to the ground right from the start, he wants no taste of Huerta's standup strikes, but this won't help either as I said before, Huerta is a wrestler by trade and is 7 years the junior to Crane which counts for alot of stamina and recovery. Unless Crane can catch Huerta off guard and knock his lights out it will most likely be a disappointing night for him.
Welterweights
Josh "Kos" Koscheck(11-1-0) vs Georges "Rush" St. Pierre(13-2-0)
* I am a big Koscheck fan, hes an up and comer and isn't afraid to take a hit. His most recent victory came against the heavy favorite Diego Sanchez at UFC 69 when he pounded out the rounds with Sanchez and earned an unanimous decision in 3 rounds. Koscheck is a versitile fighter and does not limit himself to a certain style although he has utilized the ground in 4 of his last 9 wins. He likes to strike quick and then shoot to take a stunned opponent to the ground for a submission. St Pierre is coming off a devastating loss to Matt Serra at UFC 69 and will be looking to climb back up the ladder to fight for the championship again. St. Pierre is a devastating striker which is no doubt why he is such a heavy favorite. St. Pierre will obviously give Koscheck all he can handle and try to keep the fight standing up, as tall as St. Pierre is I can see Koscheck making a quick strike and then try to shoot to take him down. Regardless I think this will be a great fight and the line is way too one sided in favor of St. Pierre, I would wait for the public to jump on the favorite as they always do and inflate the line and then I would jump on Koscheck for the simple value of the line. If you like St. Pierre then take him now!!!
Lightweights
Kurt "Batman" Pellegrino(16-2-0) vs Joe "Daddy" Stevenson(32-7-0)
*Joe Stevenson has a ton of fights under his belt and for only being 25 years old hes well on his way to claiming the lightweight championship. Stevenson is a submission artist who isn't afraid to take a hit on his feet especially if hes waiting to catch you with a stunner to the chin and then take your legs out from under you to get to the ground where he is most comfortable. Batman Pellegrino on the other hand has far less experience and is basically the same fighter, he like to go to the ground as 80% of his wins have come by way of submission. For the fight to be intresting they should both stay on their feet, but I doubt that will happen and most likely it will go to the ground where Stevenson will be pounding on Pellegrino asking him, "who's your Daddy".
Middleweights
Patrick "The Predator" Cote(11-4-0) vs Kendall "Da Spyder" Grove(10-3-0)
Middleweights
Ryan Jensen(11-1-0) vs Thales Leites(10-1-0)
Light Heavyweights
Renato "Babalu" Sobral(27-7-0) vs David Heath(9-1-0)
Heavyweights
Frank Mir(9-3-0) vs Antoni Hardonk(5-3-0)
*It has been a long time coming for Frank Mir, he has been out of the octagon for almost a year, Mir's claim to fame was submitting Tim Sylvia at UFC 48. Since then he has lost 2 out of his last 3 fights and seemed to fade out but so did the rest of the heavyweight division after Couture won it. Mir is best on the ground if you stand him up and beat on him he really doesn't like it, thats how you beat him. Hardonk is relatively unknown and just got his ass whipped at UFC Fight Night 9 by another scrub so basically this looks to be a welcome back match for Mir setup by Dana White to reinvigorate the Heavyweight division. The reason the line is as close as it is is because neither of these guys are that good and Mir has fan recognition which keeps the line high. I doubt it will be a very eventful fight, but Mir will probably take it only because Hardonk is that bad.
Lightweights
Clay "The Carpenter" Guida(21-5-0) vs Marcus "Maximus" Aurelio(14-4-0)

Keep checking back for more odds and a rundown of all the fights and my predictions.

Posted by JR Valdez at 2:36 PM 0 comments

Tuesday, July 24, 2007

UFC 75: Champion vs Champion










UFC 75: Champion vs Champion will take place on September 8th at 4:00pm EST in the 02 Arena in London, England.



GamblersPalace.com is proud to offer early UFC Odds on the UFC 75 whose title card will feature the current UFC Light Heavyweight champ Quinton "Rampage" Jackson 27-6-0 in a battle against the current Pride Fighting Light Heavyweight champ Dan "Hollywood" Henderson 22-5-0. UFC had puchased the Pride Fighting League back in May and this bout will look to unify the belt at the Light Heavyweight division.
The bookmakers currently have Jackson medium favorite at -150(risk $150 to win $100) with Henderson bringing back a respectable +120(risk $120 to win $100). Both fighters are wrestlers by trade, however lately we have seen wrestlers who would much rather box it out with strikes instead of going to the mat. These 2 fighters are prime examples of this as 13 of Jackson's 27 wins have come by way of KO while Henderson has posted up 10 his 22 wins via KO. Jackson is on a 5 fight win streak coming off his championship fight win over Chuck "The Iceman" Liddell with a stunning knockout in the 1st round that left Liddell dazed and confused. This win has no doubt raised Jackson into the upper echelon of UFC fighters and he will no doubt dish out all that Henderson can take. Henderson on the hand is no slouch and has fought the best of the best in Pride, his last fight was back in February when he KO'ed Wanderlei Silva at Pride 33. This will be Henderson's UFC debut and I would expect hes bringing his A game but it has been a while since his last fight which is probably the reason for Jackson being favored so early. Regardless of the touts I believe this will be an all out war and there will be a knockout!!!



The undercard that night will feature a Heavywieght fight between Mirko Cro Cop 22-5-2 and Cheick Kongo 19-3-1. Currently Cro Cop is a heavy favorite at -330(risk $330 to win $100) with Kongo on the comeback at +250(risk $100 to win $250). Cro Cop is coming off a heartbreaking loss against Gabriel Gonzaga at UFC 70 where he suffered a devasting kick to the head that rendered him unable to standup, this alone will be enough motivation for the knockout artist Cro Cop to easily dispose of Kongo. Cheick Kongo has been in the UFC for about a year now and has a few wins under his belt, his latest was at UFC 70 where he won by decision against Assuerio Silva. Other than that I really don't recognize anyone else hes fought, if the handicappers are right then it should be a short night for Kongo as he will most likely get knocked out by the Croation. Some other fights on the card that GP will be providing odds for as we get closer to the event date:

Matt "The Hammer" Hamill vs Michael "The Count" Bispin
Naoyuki Kotani vs Dennis Silver
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Posted by JR Valdez at 12:25 PM 1 comments

Tuesday, July 17, 2007

UFC 74: Respect Early Odds


There are early lines out for UFC 74 which will be held August 25th at the Mandalay Bay Events Center in Las Vegas. The main event will be a Heavyweight title fight between the current champ Randy Couture 15-8-0 and challenger Gabriel "Napo" Gonzaga 8-1-0 who is fresh off his stunning 1st round knockout of Mirko "Cro Cop" in UFC 70.

Currently the lines available have Gonzaga favored at -125 (risk $125 to win $100) with Couture at -105 (risk $105 to win $100).

The undercard to the main event will be Welterweights: Josh Koscheck 9-1-0 vs Georges St. Pierre 13-2-0.
The bookmakers currently have St. Pierre a heavy favorite at -245 (risk $245 to win $100) while Koscheck brings back +185 (risk $100 to win $185).
Keep checking back for fight updates and major line moves as I will be adding more and more info on UFC 74: RESPECT.....


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Posted by JR Valdez at 8:28 AM 0 comments

Monday, July 9, 2007

UFC 73 Results

Well I picked 6 out of 9 right problem is that the 3 I missed were the ones I bet!!! Damnit

UFC 73 was by far the most anticipated MMA event of the year with 9 fights on the card, 2 of which were title fights in the Middleweight and Lightweight divisions. The night started off with sparks when Heath Herring a huge underdog nearly knocked out Pride Fighting champ Minotauro Nogueira with a kick to the head, but ended up losing the fight by decision. The Lighweight championship was nothing short of an all out war between Hermes Franca and defending champ Sean Sherk. The bout went all 5 five minute rounds and ended with Sherk by unanimous decision. One of the more anticipated fights of the night was between Rashad Evans and Tito Ortiz at the Lightheavy Weight division. Sparks were flying and both fighters put on quite a show for the sell out crowd at the Arco Arena in Sacramento, but the crowd was left disappointed when the bout ended in a draw due to a point deduction incurred by Ortiz in the 2nd round when he was penalized for holding onto the fence to prevent a takedown. The main event of the night was the Middleweight championship bout between defending champ Anderson "The Spider" Silva and the challenger Nate Marqaurdt. With the ring of the bell Silva opened up with a quick flurry of striking combos, Marquardt tried to defend but was no match for the Brazilians speed and Nate "The Great" was TKO'd with 1:30 left in the 1st round.

Complete Results for UFC 73:
LIGHTWEIGHT BOUTFrankie Edgar defeated Mark Bocek at 4:55 of Round One by TKO.

WELTERWEIGHT BOUTChris Lytle defeated Jason Gilliam 2:15 of Round One by triangle choke.

LIGHTWEIGHT BOUTJorge Gurgel defeated Diego Saraiva by unanimous decision (30-27 on all three scorecards)

LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT BOUTStephan Bonnar defeated Mike Nickels by Rear Naked Choke at 2:14 of Round One.

HEAVYWEIGHT BOUTAntonio Rodrigo Nogueria defeats Heath Herring by unanimous decision (29-28 on all score cards)

LIGHT WEIGHT UFC WORLD TITLE BOUT
Sean Sherk defeats Hermes Franca by unanimous decision (50-45 on all judges scorecards)

LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT BOUT
Tito Ortiz vs Rashad Evans. All 3 judges score the bout 28-28 for a unanimous draw mostly due to the point taken away from Ortiz in the 2nd round. MIDDLEWEIGHT UFC WORLD TITLE BOUTAnderson Silva defeats Nate Marqaurdt by TKO Rd 1 (Referee's stoppage due to strikes)

LIGHTWEIGHT BOUT
Kenny Florian defeats Alvin Robinson by TKO (Referee's Stoppage due to strikes on the ground) Rd 1

Posted by JR Valdez at 12:51 PM 0 comments

Tuesday, July 3, 2007

UFC 73 Picks

Hey Peeps, Click on this link to view the odds and my picks for UFC 73: Stacked, July 7th. Also don't forget to enter the handicapping contest and make some free cash!!!

Posted by JR Valdez at 12:02 PM 0 comments

Wednesday, June 27, 2007

UFC 73: Stacked Preview/Odds

UFC 73 should be the UFC event of the year, with a superstar fight card including Tito Ortiz, Anderson Silva, and Sean Sherk.


On Saturday July 7th Arco Arena in Sacramento will host the "Stacked" event available on PPV. Some of the more notable of the 9 fights on the card are lightweight champion Sean "muscle shark" Sherk 35-2-1 vs Brazilian born Hermes Franka 19-5-0 as well as light heavyweights Tito "Huntington Beach Bad Boy" Ortiz 16-5-0 vs Rashad "Sugar" Evans 15-o-0. The main event will be middleweight champion Anderson "The Spider" Silva 18-4-0 vs Nate "The Great" Marquardt 28-6-1.

Right now the books have the above mentioned fights available for early betting. The lightweight champion Sherk is an expected favorite at -230 (risk $230 to win $100) while Franca will bring a nice comeback of +180 (risk $100 to win $180). This should be a great fight between 2 proven fighters, however if it goes to the ground then expect Sherk to be the victor, hes too strong and stout to easily submit, Franca will have to win on his feet. If you like Sherk I would advise taking him right now, as the line will most likely move up as the wise guys come in and pound the number. If you like the Brazilian I would wait for a better price like +200 or so.

The bookmakers currently have Tito Ortiz posting as a slight favorite at -120 (risk $120 to win $100), while Rashad Evans is -110 (risk $110 to win $100) The truth is is that Ortiz has been getting beat up lately and facing Rashad Evans to start out your rise back to the top is no easy task. Evans is undefeated and has been beating people up lately. If you like Tito then take him right now!!! before the price gets driven up by the mass public making Tito the fan favorite, but if you believe that Evans will get the job done then wait for the + money and jump on him, these 2 fighters are very evenly matched so keep watching the lines as sooner or later there will be an imbalance and then you can take advantage of the value.

For the main event, middleweight champ Anderson Silva is a slight favorite at -165 (risk $165 to win $100) while the challenger Nate Marquardt is listed at +130 (risk $100 to win $130). At this point Silva looks like hes gonna wipe the floor with this guy, but Marquardt has a ton of experience and is no slouch. Right now the value is on Silva becuase it is considerably cheap for a favorite in a matchup like this, the line will most likely move up to -185 before its over.
I will post my picks for each fight early next week after the lines are settled and all the rhetoric is over. Whoever wants to can submit their picks against mine next week and if you beat me its worth a $25 free account!!! Simply comment on this blog whoever would like to participate and I will contact you indiviually.
*Note $25 free cash is subject to all bonus rollover requirements, which can be found in the bonus section of GamblersPalace.com home page.

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Posted by JR Valdez at 9:31 AM 0 comments

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